Add price-trends: monthly median $/TB over time (consumer vs enterprise)
Computed monthly medians (Jul 2024 onward) plus a chart and a write-up (the trend, method, buyer takeaway, and usage note). Aggregate only - no underlying per-drive price observations.
This commit is contained in:
parent
c00cee5ccc
commit
f7c67f8e62
3 changed files with 64 additions and 0 deletions
36
price-trends/README.md
Normal file
36
price-trends/README.md
Normal file
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
|
||||||
|
# NAS drive price trends
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Monthly median price-per-terabyte for current 8TB+ NAS hard drives (US, new, in stock), from Jul 2024 to the latest month, split into the two tiers people choose between: consumer NAS (WD Red / IronWolf class) and enterprise (Exos / MG / Ultrastar).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The chart below tracks both tiers from Jul 2024 to the latest month. Prices held flat around $20 per terabyte for over a year, then climbed sharply from late 2025 to roughly double, and have stayed there since. Consumer NAS and enterprise drives moved almost in lockstep the whole way.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|

|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## The trend
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Median price-per-TB sat flat around $20/TB through 2024 and most of 2025, then roughly doubled to the mid-$40s/TB from late 2025, and has held there since. Both tiers moved together: among new drives, enterprise is not the price-per-TB bargain it's assumed to be, and both got hit about equally. The usual driver is the AI datacenter buildout pulling high-capacity nearline supply.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Files
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- [`monthly-median-per-tb.csv`](monthly-median-per-tb.csv) - columns: `month`, `consumer_usd_per_tb`, `enterprise_usd_per_tb`. Computed monthly medians only.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Interactive version
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Hover, zoom, and a capacity-matched cheapest-per-TB table: [nasdisks.com/articles/nas-drive-price-crunch](https://www.nasdisks.com/articles/nas-drive-price-crunch/).
|
||||||
|
- Part of the open [NAS drive dataset](https://github.com/deeddy/nas-drive-data), maintained at [nasdisks.com](https://www.nasdisks.com/).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Method
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
For each month, take each drive's average price-per-TB across its logged days, then the median of those per-drive values across drives (so a model with more logged days doesn't skew the month). Scope: 8TB and up, US, new in-stock prices, compiled from Amazon price history. CMR/SMR and specs from datasheets.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
8TB and up because small drives carry a much higher price-per-TB (fixed per-drive costs spread over less capacity), and which small SKUs happen to be in stock would swing an all-capacity median for reasons unrelated to prices actually moving.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This folder publishes the computed monthly medians only, not the underlying per-drive price observations.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Takeaway for buyers
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Because the two tiers track each other, there's no reliable price-per-TB win from picking enterprise over consumer among new drives. Buy on price-per-TB and CMR vs SMR, not on tier. The one genuine discount is the recertified/refurbished enterprise market, which sits well below new prices but comes with shorter reseller warranties and prior drive hours, so it isn't included here. And since these are supply-driven prices, they are unlikely to snap back to 2024 levels soon; plan around the current floor rather than waiting for a rollback.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Using this data
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The monthly medians here are free to use, with a credit to `nasdisks.com` (a link back is appreciated). They are computed aggregate statistics, provided as-is, and separate from the repository's CC BY 4.0 license, which covers the drive specs and CMR/SMR data.
|
||||||
28
price-trends/monthly-median-per-tb.csv
Normal file
28
price-trends/monthly-median-per-tb.csv
Normal file
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
|
||||||
|
month,consumer_usd_per_tb,enterprise_usd_per_tb
|
||||||
|
2024-07,19.94,20.93
|
||||||
|
2024-08,20.03,22.38
|
||||||
|
2024-09,20.38,21.43
|
||||||
|
2024-10,20.52,21.84
|
||||||
|
2024-11,20.07,21.11
|
||||||
|
2024-12,20.74,20.81
|
||||||
|
2025-01,21.00,21.22
|
||||||
|
2025-02,21.17,21.58
|
||||||
|
2025-03,21.00,21.75
|
||||||
|
2025-04,20.82,23.24
|
||||||
|
2025-05,21.30,21.45
|
||||||
|
2025-06,20.42,21.87
|
||||||
|
2025-07,20.87,21.48
|
||||||
|
2025-08,21.01,20.51
|
||||||
|
2025-09,21.50,20.47
|
||||||
|
2025-10,22.34,21.17
|
||||||
|
2025-11,20.78,22.25
|
||||||
|
2025-12,23.67,23.07
|
||||||
|
2026-01,27.95,25.02
|
||||||
|
2026-02,26.05,27.94
|
||||||
|
2026-03,33.43,31.48
|
||||||
|
2026-04,39.05,37.99
|
||||||
|
2026-05,39.12,39.31
|
||||||
|
2026-06,43.52,41.69
|
||||||
|
2026-07,44.95,45.31
|
||||||
|
2026-08,44.01,42.54
|
||||||
|
2026-09,44.37,43.45
|
||||||
|
BIN
price-trends/nas-price-trend.png
Normal file
BIN
price-trends/nas-price-trend.png
Normal file
Binary file not shown.
|
After Width: | Height: | Size: 235 KiB |
Loading…
Add table
Add a link
Reference in a new issue